Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.000130 0.000145 0.000160 0.000178 0.000198 0.000219 0.000244
2025-10-19 0.000108 0.000128 0.000150 0.000177 0.000209 0.000245 0.000291
2025-10-26 0.000092 0.000115 0.000141 0.000176 0.000218 0.000270 0.000338
2025-11-02 0.000080 0.000104 0.000134 0.000174 0.000226 0.000293 0.000384
2025-11-09 0.000071 0.000096 0.000128 0.000173 0.000235 0.000317 0.000434
2025-11-16 0.000063 0.000088 0.000122 0.000171 0.000241 0.000338 0.000481
2025-11-23 0.000057 0.000082 0.000118 0.000171 0.000249 0.000360 0.000532
2025-11-30 0.000052 0.000078 0.000114 0.000171 0.000257 0.000384 0.000587
2025-12-07 0.000047 0.000073 0.000110 0.000169 0.000262 0.000404 0.000636
2025-12-14 0.000044 0.000070 0.000108 0.000172 0.000274 0.000433 0.000704
2025-12-21 0.000041 0.000067 0.000106 0.000173 0.000282 0.000459 0.000767
2025-12-28 0.000038 0.000063 0.000103 0.000171 0.000288 0.000479 0.000823
2026-01-04 0.000036 0.000061 0.000102 0.000174 0.000301 0.000514 0.000908
2026-01-11 0.000034 0.000059 0.000100 0.000175 0.000309 0.000542 0.000983
2026-01-18 0.000032 0.000056 0.000097 0.000175 0.000316 0.000567 0.001057
2026-01-25 0.000029 0.000053 0.000095 0.000173 0.000321 0.000590 0.001128
2026-02-01 0.000028 0.000051 0.000093 0.000173 0.000328 0.000618 0.001209
2026-02-08 0.000026 0.000048 0.000090 0.000172 0.000332 0.000638 0.001280
2026-02-15 0.000024 0.000046 0.000088 0.000171 0.000338 0.000664 0.001362
2026-02-22 0.000023 0.000045 0.000086 0.000171 0.000346 0.000693 0.001455
2026-03-01 0.000021 0.000043 0.000084 0.000170 0.000349 0.000714 0.001531
2026-03-08 0.000021 0.000042 0.000083 0.000172 0.000361 0.000754 0.001652
2026-03-15 0.000020 0.000041 0.000082 0.000173 0.000370 0.000787 0.001761